A few words about Chelsea v. City.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

Pundits and fanbases are so fickle. What have you done for me lately is everything, and we all tend to overreact to what we have just seen. Recency bias is\u00a0strong\u00a0<\/strong>among football watchers.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

Thus, we should be unsurprised that Chelsea is currently the fashionable choice to win the Premier League. And, to be fair, Chelsea are an excellent football team. They beat Man City head-to-head in both the CL final and the FA Cup semifinal last season. Since Tuchel\u2019s arrival, Chelsea\u2019s defense has outperformed everyone in Europe. And, so far this season, Chelsea has both looked better than Man City, and has dropped fewer points.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

But City is still City. \u00a0Pep is still Pep. KdB, Sterling, Jesus, Ederson, Mahrez, Bernardo Silva, Walker, Stones, Dias, and company are still a lineup that should strike fear in any rational opponent. And, despite dropping points against Spurs and Southampton, City\u2019s underlying stats have continued to be extremely good.\u00a0Fivethirtyeight.com<\/a>\u2019s algorithm still has Man City as relatively strong favorites to win the Premier League, and the same algorithm gives City a better chance of winning the match tomorrow.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

I am certainly not immune to recency bias, and at the moment I fear Chelsea nearly as much as Man City. \u00a0I continue to hate Man United more than anyone (indeed, Ronaldo\u2019s presence only heightens that emotion), but I still don\u2019t fear them as a title contender.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

Based on the current position of the teams and my own emotional state, I\u2019m hoping for a draw tomorrow. But my second-most preferable result would be a Chelsea win. If Man City were to lose tomorrow and we could also win against Brentford and City next Sunday, then City would have a major hill to climb in the PL. \u00a0They would not be out of it by any means, but I would very much relish their handicap. \u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

But, given what I want, I\u2019ll expect the worst.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

My guess: \u00a0Chelsea 0 – Man City 1<\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A few words about Chelsea v. City.\u00a0 Pundits and fanbases are so fickle. What have you done for me lately is everything, and we all tend to overreact to what we have just seen. Recency bias is\u00a0strong\u00a0among football watchers.\u00a0 Thus, we should be unsurprised that Chelsea is currently the fashionable choice to win the Premier League. And, to be fair, …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"WB4WB4WP_MODE":"","WB4WP_PAGE_SCRIPTS":"","WB4WP_PAGE_STYLES":"","WB4WP_PAGE_FONTS":"","WB4WP_PAGE_HEADER":"","WB4WP_PAGE_FOOTER":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[34,9,36,23,45],"class_list":["post-96","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-and-notes","tag-chelsea","tag-man-city","tag-manchester-city","tag-premier-league","tag-rivals","entry entry-center"],"yoast_head":"\n